Ayah Shah

Overview & 2022 Context

Ayah Shah, Assembly Constituency number 241 in Fatehpur district, produced a clear mandate in the 2022 Uttar Pradesh polls. Vikas Gupta of Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) finished first with 71,231 votes (44.38%), defeating VISHAMBHAR PRASAD NISHAD (SP), who polled 58,225 (36.28%). The victory margin was 13,006 votes. Of 274,485 electors, 160,491 votes were polled and turnout stood at 58.47%.

The 2022 Uttar Pradesh Legislative Assembly election was a bipolar contest between the BJP-led NDA and the Samajwadi Party–led front. Campaign discourse centred on law-and-order and welfare delivery versus unemployment, inflation, farm distress and the stray-cattle problem, as widely reported during the polls; the BJP retained power while the SP improved its seat tally as the principal opposition. In this Assembly Constituency, the local verdict hinged on candidate networks and booth-level conversion as much as alliance symbols. Leading contenders by votes included: Vikas Gupta (BJP, 71,231 / 44.38%); VISHAMBHAR PRASAD NISHAD (SP, 58,225 / 36.28%); CHANDAN SINGH (BSP, 22,045 / 13.74%); HEMLATA (INC, 1,753 / 1.09%).

Campaign noise statewide does not erase the arithmetic of this Legislative Assembly segment: the gap between Vikas Gupta and VISHAMBHAR PRASAD NISHAD is the binding fact for seat 241, and every other claim about caste blocs or welfare messaging has to be tested against that published margin of 13,006 votes.

Geographical & Administrative Profile

Fatehpur sits in the Awadh cultural-administrative region of central Uttar Pradesh. With headquarters at Fatehpur, the district combines rural blocks and urban/service nodes; welfare delivery, farm distress and migration to cities are recurring voter concerns. Administratively, Ayah Shah is Legislative Assembly seat number 241 under Fatehpur (headquarters: Fatehpur). Like neighbouring segments, it mixes rural habitations and market nodes where roads, schools, health access and welfare delivery travel with voters as strongly as statewide narratives.

Geography here is not ornamental for election reading. Flood plains, market roads and block headquarters shape who can mobilise, who migrates for work, and which booth clusters decide close Assembly Constituency contests. Ayah Shah sits inside that Fatehpur administrative map even when national television talks only of alliances.

History & Past Election Trends

On the same constituency lineage, recent Legislative Assembly outcomes were — 2017: Vikas Gupta (BJP) by 51,965 votes; 2012: AYODHYA PRASAD PAL (BSP) by 11,097 votes.

Against that backdrop, the 2022 win for Vikas Gupta (BJP) in Assembly Constituency number 241 should be read as continuity where the same camp had dominated, or as another swing where the lineage had flipped before — never by treating the serial number alone as eternal identity.

Statistics & Gender-wise Polling Analysis

Electors: 274,485. Votes polled: 160,491. Turnout: 58.47%. Winner Vikas Gupta (BJP): 71,231 (44.38%); runner-up VISHAMBHAR PRASAD NISHAD (SP): 58,225 (36.28%); margin: 13,006 — a clear mandate relative to total votes polled in this Legislative Assembly segment.

Men slightly outnumbered women among recorded voters: male 82,190 (51.44%), female 77,589 (48.56%).

Turnout 58.47% with 160,491 votes from 274,485 electors remains the participation baseline for comparing this seat with neighbouring Legislative Assembly segments in Fatehpur.

Issues That Drove Voting Behavior

Statewide themes included suraksha/law-and-order messaging, labharthi welfare schemes, Hindutva-plus mobilisation, and opposition focus on jobs, price rise, farm incomes and stray cattle. In Fatehpur, voters also weighed welfare delivery, farm distress, migration, urban services. a clear mandate for Vikas Gupta (BJP) against VISHAMBHAR PRASAD NISHAD (SP) suggests the winner’s camp converted a broader preference in seat 241.

None of those themes automatically explain every booth. The usable conclusion for Ayah Shah is narrower: Vikas Gupta (BJP) outpolled VISHAMBHAR PRASAD NISHAD (SP) by 13,006 votes under 58.47% turnout, and that is the 2022 mandate recorded for Assembly Constituency number 241.

Reading 2022 carefully means separating statewide wave talk from booth-level conversion in Ayah Shah. Vikas Gupta (BJP) converted 71,231 votes; VISHAMBHAR PRASAD NISHAD (SP) had 58,225. Turnout 58.47% and margin 13,006 in seat 241 signal organisational reach across polling stations rather than a single-day mood swing alone.

For journalists and researchers, the safer frame is lineage continuity plus the published 2022 table: electors 274,485, votes polled 160,491, and the head-to-head between Vikas Gupta and VISHAMBHAR PRASAD NISHAD. District cues in Fatehpur still matter — roads, floods, farm prices, migration and welfare delivery — but they must be weighed against what the EVM count actually recorded in this Assembly Constituency / Legislative Assembly seat.