Patiyali

Overview & 2022 Context

Patiyali, Legislative Assembly number 102 in Kasganj district, produced a narrow contest in the 2022 Uttar Pradesh polls. Nadira Sultan alias Bitiya of Samajwadi Party (SP) finished first with 91,958 votes (41.83%), defeating Mamtesh Shakya (BJP), who polled 87,957 (40.01%). The victory margin was 4,001 votes. Of 359,278 electors, 219,831 votes were polled and turnout stood at 61.19%.

The 2022 Uttar Pradesh Legislative Assembly election was a bipolar contest between the BJP-led NDA and the Samajwadi Party–led front. Campaign discourse centred on law-and-order and welfare delivery versus unemployment, inflation, farm distress and the stray-cattle problem, as widely reported during the polls; the BJP retained power while the SP improved its seat tally as the principal opposition. In this Assembly Constituency, the local verdict hinged on candidate networks and booth-level conversion as much as alliance symbols. Leading contenders by votes included: Nadira Sultan alias Bitiya (SP, 91,958 / 41.83%); Mamtesh Shakya (BJP, 87,957 / 40.01%); Neeraj Kishore Mishra (BSP, 30,626 / 13.93%); Vivek Kumar (JANADIP, 2,225 / 1.01%).

Campaign noise statewide does not erase the arithmetic of this Legislative Assembly segment: the gap between Nadira Sultan alias Bitiya and Mamtesh Shakya is the binding fact for seat 102, and every other claim about caste blocs or welfare messaging has to be tested against that published margin of 4,001 votes.

Geographical & Administrative Profile

Kasganj lies in western Uttar Pradesh, linking the Upper Doab and Yamuna–Ganga plain economies. District headquarters at Kasganj anchors administration; sugarcane, wheat and peri-urban markets shape livelihoods alongside highway and rail corridors toward Delhi NCR. Administratively, Patiyali is Assembly Constituency number 102 under Kasganj (headquarters: Kasganj). Like neighbouring segments, it mixes rural habitations and market nodes where roads, schools, health access and welfare delivery travel with voters as strongly as statewide narratives.

Geography here is not ornamental for election reading. Flood plains, market roads and block headquarters shape who can mobilise, who migrates for work, and which booth clusters decide close Assembly Constituency contests. Patiyali sits inside that Kasganj administrative map even when national television talks only of alliances.

History & Past Election Trends

On the same constituency lineage, recent Legislative Assembly outcomes were — 2012: NAJEEVA KHAN ZEENAT (SP) by 27,775 votes; 1996: KUNWAR DAVENDRA SINGH YADAV (SP) by 24,403 votes; 1991: RAJENDER SINGH (BJP) by 5,022 votes; 1989: DEVENDER SINGH (INC) by 13,009 votes.

Against that backdrop, the 2022 win for Nadira Sultan alias Bitiya (SP) in Legislative Assembly seat number 102 should be read as continuity where the same camp had dominated, or as another swing where the lineage had flipped before — never by treating the serial number alone as eternal identity.

Statistics & Gender-wise Polling Analysis

Electors: 359,278. Votes polled: 219,831. Turnout: 61.19%. Winner Nadira Sultan alias Bitiya (SP): 91,958 (41.83%); runner-up Mamtesh Shakya (BJP): 87,957 (40.01%); margin: 4,001 — a narrow contest relative to total votes polled in this Assembly Constituency.

Men slightly outnumbered women among recorded voters: male 115,925 (52.98%), female 102,877 (47.02%), other 2.

Turnout 61.19% with 219,831 votes from 359,278 electors remains the participation baseline for comparing this seat with neighbouring Legislative Assembly segments in Kasganj.

Issues That Drove Voting Behavior

Statewide themes included suraksha/law-and-order messaging, labharthi welfare schemes, Hindutva-plus mobilisation, and opposition focus on jobs, price rise, farm incomes and stray cattle. In Kasganj, voters also weighed sugarcane prices, NCR connectivity, rural roads, urban services. a narrow contest for Nadira Sultan alias Bitiya (SP) against Mamtesh Shakya (BJP) suggests the winner’s camp converted a broader preference in seat 102.

None of those themes automatically explain every booth. The usable conclusion for Patiyali is narrower: Nadira Sultan alias Bitiya (SP) outpolled Mamtesh Shakya (BJP) by 4,001 votes under 61.19% turnout, and that is the 2022 mandate recorded for Assembly Constituency number 102.

Reading 2022 carefully means separating statewide wave talk from booth-level conversion in Patiyali. Nadira Sultan alias Bitiya (SP) converted 91,958 votes; Mamtesh Shakya (BJP) had 87,957. Turnout 61.19% and margin 4,001 in seat 102 signal organisational reach across polling stations rather than a single-day mood swing alone.

For journalists and researchers, the safer frame is lineage continuity plus the published 2022 table: electors 359,278, votes polled 219,831, and the head-to-head between Nadira Sultan alias Bitiya and Mamtesh Shakya. District cues in Kasganj still matter — roads, floods, farm prices, migration and welfare delivery — but they must be weighed against what the EVM count actually recorded in this Assembly Constituency / Legislative Assembly seat.